• Sea-level rise and saltwater intrusion are reshaping the coastal portion of this ecoregion faster than the climate envelope itself is shifting — bald cypress, sweetgum, and water tupelo are losing ground to salt-tolerant species.
• Inland, longleaf pine remains on-trajectory under warming; the limiting factor is fire management rather than climate.
• Garden-relevant: native legumes, wiregrass, and the longleaf-system forbs (silkgrass, partridge pea, native Liatris) carry forward, and they pull double-duty as pollinator habitat in a heavily agriculturalized matrix.