• Multi-year drought-flood whiplash is the dominant climate signal here; the 2010s-2020s drought + flash-flood pattern is on-trajectory for the projected envelope.
• Ashe juniper encroachment under fire suppression has dramatically increased woody cover over the past century; warming and CO2 fertilization both favor woody encroachment.
• Garden-relevant: Hill Country natives (Texas mountain laurel, cenizo, Texas star hibiscus, Mexican feathergrass, native salvias) are a model palette for warming + drought-prone southern US gardens.