• Winter low-temperature shift here is among the largest projected in North America (~4-5 °C under SSP3-7.0) — a roughly full USDA zone shift north by mid-century in the continental interior.
• Pothole hydrology is becoming more variable: warmer winters reduce snowpack-driven spring recharge, while episodic heavy summer rains overfill basins.
• Garden-relevant: the prairie forb palette (Liatris, Echinacea, Heliopsis, Solidago, Asclepias) tolerates the projected envelope; species selection should lean on northern ecotypes for cumulative heat-stress tolerance, not just zone numbers.